Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.596979 3.824348 4.068233 4.351006 4.672072 5.028030 5.456443
2025-03-16 3.149421 3.434578 3.755677 4.149041 4.625256 5.193391 5.939403
2025-03-23 2.903354 3.235482 3.625640 4.128214 4.775342 5.607567 6.810987
2025-03-30 2.682679 3.041765 3.478401 4.065322 4.863720 5.966044 7.725916
2025-04-06 2.480648 2.851363 3.314777 3.960057 4.880469 6.236360 8.623933
2025-04-13 2.289968 2.659217 3.130568 3.805154 4.804822 6.360396 9.355723
2025-04-20 2.196429 2.583642 3.091302 3.844433 5.019899 6.998356 11.382396
2025-04-27 2.118785 2.522277 3.064740 3.898015 5.268525 7.778923 14.382978
2025-05-04 2.066811 2.490799 3.075927 4.008940 5.636339 8.937820 20.029696
2025-05-11 1.998623 2.431672 3.041710 4.044221 5.881611 9.972315 28.056636
2025-05-18 1.922350 2.355920 2.976429 4.020641 6.013338 10.825270 39.638121
2025-05-25 1.829423 2.251049 2.859795 3.898035 5.926227 11.072631 49.890344
2025-06-01 1.754000 2.173011 2.787155 3.859258 6.042707 12.125211 96.803143
2025-06-08 1.665523 2.071601 2.672055 3.734859 5.955126 12.526422 194.113021
2025-06-15 1.614220 2.022180 2.635126 3.748030 6.187789 14.357793 NaN
2025-06-22 1.558408 1.963030 2.578539 3.718828 6.319215 16.049013 NaN
2025-06-29 1.498913 1.895370 2.503744 3.647135 6.331159 17.299496 NaN
2025-07-06 1.434862 1.817981 2.408546 3.526825 6.192550 17.638771 NaN
2025-07-13 1.405886 1.792658 2.397606 3.571581 6.518319 21.703175 NaN
2025-07-20 1.380605 1.771599 2.392136 3.626928 6.901493 28.132540 NaN
2025-07-27 1.364593 1.763987 2.408797 3.731053 7.489062 42.746226 NaN
2025-08-03 1.338970 1.739826 2.394879 3.767633 7.879521 64.469040 NaN
2025-08-10 1.307349 1.704628 2.359157 3.751340 8.079580 94.607846 NaN